Awkward tense construction

[stuartnz]

How can I best harmonise the tenses in these sentences, relating to a study conducted in 2003:

"In 2003 it was estimated that there were 177 million people worldwide with Diabetes. In the following 25 years it is estimated that the incidence of Diabetes would increase by 165%"

[susiedqq]

"In 2003 it was estimated that there were 177 million people worldwide with Diabetes. Over the next 25 years, we will see an estimated 165% increase in the number of diabetics worldwide.

[stuartnz]

Thank you!

Which of these flows better, do you think?

The Ministry of Health (2002) has forecast that the prevalence of T2DM will increase by 78% in the 15-year period from 1996 to 2011.


OR

The Ministry of Health (2002) has forecast that the prevalence of T2DM will, in the 15-year period from 1996 to 2011, increase by 78%.

[Anglika]

#2

Or how about:

In 2002, the Ministry of Health forecast a 78% increase in the prevalence of T2DM over the period 1996 to 2011.

[susiedqq]

. . . .over the period 1996 to 2011.

or

. . . .during the period 1996 to 2011.

or

. . . .from 1996 to 2001.

or

. . . between the years 1996 to 2011.

[Barb_D]

PS - This statistic will only have relevance if you compare it to the growth in the overall population, or use a statistic that compares how many people out of every 1000 will have it. The population will grow over this same period, so you would expect the number of people with diabetes to increase as well.

[stuartnz]

PS - This statistic will only have relevance if you compare it to the growth in the overall population, or use a statistic that compares how many people out of every 1000 will have it. The population will grow over this same period, so you would expect the number of people with diabetes to increase as well.

Thanks, Barb. The sentence in question was cut out of an assignment about diabetes education. In the context of the article, the statistic itself is fine, since the article is examining why there is a need for more work in a particular area of diabetes education. I felt the original construction was a little awkward. Some of this is imposed by the constraints of the required referencing structure, but the suggestions in this thread have been most helpful.