GoodTaste
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I understand the meaning of "or it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy" as "otherwise, its prediction/prophecy is self-cheating." But "self-fulfilling" appears to be a good word and thus the actual meaning of "or it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy" is not clear to me.
The best guess I got now is that the so-called prophecy is circular and can't prove anything.
What does it mean?
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Franklin Zimring, a criminologist at the University of California at Berkeley, adds that the value of predictive-policing tools is unproven and that the software can lead to feedback loops. “If police presence itself is a biasing influence on measurable offence volume, you shouldn’t use those events as a basis for allocating police resources, or it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy,” Zimring says.
MacDonald argues that PredPol uses only crimes reported by victims, such as burglaries and robberies, to inform its software. “We never do predictions for crime types that have the possibility of officer-initiated bias, such as drug crimes or prostitution,” he says.
Source: Nature 19 JUNE 2020
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01874-9
The best guess I got now is that the so-called prophecy is circular and can't prove anything.
What does it mean?
================
Franklin Zimring, a criminologist at the University of California at Berkeley, adds that the value of predictive-policing tools is unproven and that the software can lead to feedback loops. “If police presence itself is a biasing influence on measurable offence volume, you shouldn’t use those events as a basis for allocating police resources, or it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy,” Zimring says.
MacDonald argues that PredPol uses only crimes reported by victims, such as burglaries and robberies, to inform its software. “We never do predictions for crime types that have the possibility of officer-initiated bias, such as drug crimes or prostitution,” he says.
Source: Nature 19 JUNE 2020
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01874-9
